2025 NBA picks, March 11 best bets from proven model

We’ve got another exciting Eastern Conference contest on Tuesday’s NBA schedule as the Detroit Pistons will host the Washington Wizards. Detroit is 36-29 overall and 17-14 at home, while Washington is 13-50 overall and 6-24 on the road. The Pistons defeated the Wizards, 124-104, in Washington on Nov. 17 in their only meeting this season after the two teams split their four matchups last year. Bilal Coulibaly (hip) is out for Washington, while Detroit has no new injuries to report.

Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET from Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. The Pistons are favored by 15 points in the latest Wizards vs. Pistons odds, according to the SportsLine consensus. Detroit is at -1031 on the money line (risk $1,031 to win $100), with Washington at +668 (risk $100 to win $668). The over/under is 235.5 points, an increase from opening at 232. Before entering any Pistons vs. Wizards picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Detroit vs. Washington. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Wizards vs. Pistons:

Pistons vs. Wizards spread: Pistons -14.5
Pistons vs. Wizards over/under: 235.5 points
Pistons vs. Wizards money line: Pistons -1010, Wizards +653
WAS: The Under has hit in six of the last nine Wizards games
DET: The Pistons are 9-3 against the spread (ATS) over their last 12 games
Pistons vs. Wizards picks: See picks at SportsLine
Pistons vs. Wizards streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Wizards can cover
The Wizards had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 119-104 loss to the Raptors on Monday, but even with the loss, they are 4-3 over their last seven games, and they hadn’t had four victories over a seven-game span until this stretch. Alex Sarr, the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft, is averaging 14.7 points and 7.3 rebounds over his last five games as he’s been successful in a larger role lately. Washington is 3-2 in five games Sarr has played this month.

Jordan Poole is averaging 21.2 ppg and recently had 34 points in a 118-117 win over Toronto on Saturday. The 25-year-old guard has proven the ability to carry an offense when he’s shooting well and if he’s knocking down shots from deep early, Washington can compete with Detroit, who ranks 24th in 3-point defense with opposing teams making 36.8% of their triples. See which team to pick here.

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Why the Pistons can cover
The Pistons snapped their two-game losing streak with a 119-112 victory over the Trail Blazers on Sunday. Cade Cunningham had 28 points as he’s scored at least 28 points in four straight games to raise his season average to 25.6 ppg, which ranks 10th in the league. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NBA Draft is coming off his first All-Star Game appearance as he’s led the Pistons to a substantial turnaround after going 14-68 last year and winning 20 games or fewer in four of the previous five seasons.

The Pistons are 3-1 ATS when favored by at least nine points this season. Three of Detroit’s last four victories have come by at least 20 points as they continue to elevate and prove themselves as a contender in the Eastern Conference. The Wizards have the worst scoring defense (120.5 ppg allowed), including the 28th-ranked fast-break defense while the Pistons average the second-most fast break points (19.4 ppg) in the league this season. See which team to pick here.

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How to make Pistons vs. Wizards picks
The model has simulated Wizards vs. Pistons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, projecting 221 combined points, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pistons vs. Wizards, and which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Wizards vs. Pistons spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 148-107 roll on top-rated NBA picks since last season, and find out.

Where to bet on NBA games
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Giannis Antetokounmpo key for Bucks-Pacers SGP

In Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 12th NBA season, he’s still putting up outrageous numbers. He’s only one of two players (Nikola Jokic) to be in the top 10 in scoring and rebounding thanks to his 30.9 points (second in NBA) and 12.0 rebounds (sixth in NBA) per game. Earlier this month, he became the sixth-youngest player ever and 52nd overall to reach 20,000 career points.

Now, Antetokounmpo has to help the Milwaukee Bucks turn their season around since they enter Tuesday’s clash against the Indiana Pacers at 7:30 p.m. ET on a two-game losing streak. Milwaukee is just one game ahead of Indiana and the Detroit Pistons for the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference standings. The Bucks are 2-0 against the Pacers so far this season, with Antetokounmpo averaging 33.5 points, 11.0 rebounds and 9.0 assists in those meetings.

In this latest matchup between these two division foes, Milwaukee is listed as 2.5-point favorites in the Bucks vs. Pacers odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. The Bucks are -142 (risk $142 to win $100) on the money line, while the Pacers are +120 (risk $100 to win $120) underdogs.

If you want to bet on player props, SportsLine’s model has you covered. It simulates every game 10,000 times and continuously refreshes the most recent available data, which can help you spot the biggest discrepancies in the betting lines.

Let’s check out the SportLine model’s three highest-rated player prop recommendations for Bucks vs. Pacers and see what the payout would be if they were put into a same-game parlay.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 12.5 rebounds (-128 at FanDuel): 4 stars
Antetokounmpo is averaging 12.0 rebounds per game this season, his highest mark since the 2019-20 season. That number has fallen to 11.2 across five March games, where he has gone Under his rebounding prop in four of those five contests. In both meetings against the Pacers this season, he hasn’t exceeded 12.5 either time. The SportsLine model has him projected for 10.4 boards Tuesday.

Damian Lillard Under 4.5 rebounds (+100 at FanDuel): 3.5 stars
Lillard hasn’t fared well on this prop when the Bucks have been on the road playing against teams with a winning record and bottom-third defense, failing to clear it in four of the last five instances. His forecast for rebounds is 4.0, a worthy roll of the dice considering his Under is priced at +100 at FanDuel.

Kyle Kuzma Under 6.5 rebounds (+106 at FanDuel): 3.5 stars
A third Under for a Bucks rebounding prop? In the SportsLine model we trust! Kuzma has finished with three Unders for rebounds in his last five games against teams with winning records. The model likes that trend to continue here, as he’s projected for 6.1 boards.

Same-Game Parlay odds: +641

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Want more NBA picks for tonight?
You’ve seen the model’s top NBA prop picks for Bucks vs. Pacers. Now, get spread, total, money-line and prop picks for every game here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.

2025 NBA picks, March 11 best bets from proven model

The Milwaukee Bucks (36-27) and the Indiana Pacers (35-28) are set to link up in an Eastern Conference tilt on Tuesday. The Bucks are looking to get back on track after dropping two straight games. The Cleveland Cavaliers beat Milwaukee 112-100 on Sunday. In the meantime, Indiana has lost three games in a row. On Monday, the Chicago Bulls topped the Pacers 121-103. Damian Lillard (groin) and Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) are probable for the Bucks. Tyrese Haliburton (hip) is questionable for Indiana.

Tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Ind., is at 7:30 p.m. ET. Milwaukee has won both matchups this season between the divisional rivals. The Bucks are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Bucks vs. Pacers odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 236.5. Milwaukee is at -137 on the money line (risk $137 to win $100), while Indiana is at +116 (risk $100 to win $116). Before locking in any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Bucks vs. Pacers:

Bucks vs. Pacers spread: Bucks -2.5
Bucks vs. Pacers over/under: 236.5 points
Bucks vs. Pacers money line: Milwaukee -137, Indiana +116
MIL: Bucks are 30-33-1 against the spread this season
IND: Pacers are 30-32-1 against the spread this season
Bucks vs. Pacers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Bucks vs. Pacers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
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Why the Bucks can cover
Antetokounmpo finds ways to overpower opponent in the lane. He uses his length and speed to be effective, ranking second in the league in points (30.9), sixth in rebounds (12) and eighth in field-goal percentage (60.5%). He’s logged a double-double in three of his last four games. On March 8 against the Magic, Antetokounmpo had 37 points and 11 rebounds.

Lillard is a knockdown shooter on the perimeter with the court vision to set his teammates up. Lillard is 11th in the NBA in points (25.5) and ninth in assists (7.1) while shooting 37.8% from downtown. He’s tallied 22-plus points and at least five assists in four of his last five games. In the March 5 win over the Dallas Mavericks, Lillard had 34 points and five dimes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Pacers can cover
Forward Pascal Siakam can handle the rock and create his own shot with ease. He averages 20.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game. He also shoots 52% from the field. Siakam has scored 30-plus points in two of his last six games. In the March 6 contest against the Hawks, the 30-year-old finished with 35 points and nine boards.

Guard Bennedict Mathurin is an athletic ball-handler and playmaker for Indiana. He puts up 16.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Mathurin has 17 games with 20-plus points this campaign. On March 8 versus the Hawks, the Arizona product had 30 points, eight boards and five dimes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bucks vs. Pacers picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers and is leaning Under the total, projecting 232 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Bucks vs. Pacers on Tuesday, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Pacers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.